tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8778506545780706793.post2164936694495653919..comments2024-03-27T16:58:26.864-07:00Comments on Unnatural Acts that can improve your thinking: regressive fallacyRobert Todd Carrollhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02865938081392957563noreply@blogger.comBlogger7125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8778506545780706793.post-18142837806286168862021-09-24T09:29:43.607-07:002021-09-24T09:29:43.607-07:00My dad was diagnosed with Parkinson's disease ...My dad was diagnosed with Parkinson's disease his symptoms were shuffling of feet,slurred speech, low volume speech, degradation of hand writing, horrible driving skills, right arm held at 45 degree angle, but now he finally free from the disease with the help of total cure from ULTIMATE LIFE CLINIC, he now walks properly and all symptoms has reversed, he had trouble with balance especially at night, getting into the shower and exiting it is difficult,getting into bed is also another thing he finds impossible.we had to find a better solution for his condition which has really helped him a lot,the biggest helped we had was ultimate life clinic they walked us through the proper steps,am highly recommended this www.ultimatelifeclinic.com to anyone who needs help.Victoriahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17780783153020141666noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8778506545780706793.post-80927235435628065902021-07-25T09:25:19.944-07:002021-07-25T09:25:19.944-07:00DR EMU WHO HELP PEOPLE IN ANY TYPE OF LOTTERY NUMB...DR EMU WHO HELP PEOPLE IN ANY TYPE OF LOTTERY NUMBERS <br />It is a very hard situation when playing the lottery and never won, or keep winning low fund not up to 100 bucks, i have been a victim of such a tough life, the biggest fund i have ever won was 100 bucks, and i have been playing lottery for almost 12 years now, things suddenly change the moment i came across a secret online, a testimony of a spell caster called dr emu, who help people in any type of lottery numbers, i was not easily convinced, but i decided to give try, now i am a proud lottery winner with the help of dr emu, i won $1,000.0000.00 and i am making this known to every one out there who have been trying all day to win the lottery, believe me this is the only way to win the lottery.<br /><br />Contact him on email Emutemple@gmail.com<br />What's app +2347012841542<br />Website Https://emutemple.wordpress.com/<br />Https://web.facebook.com/Emu-Temple-104891335203341Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15412911890439251035noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8778506545780706793.post-20417693876273143712018-03-30T05:19:07.216-07:002018-03-30T05:19:07.216-07:00Excellent website design come in many forms, it al...Excellent website design come in many forms, it all depends on what your criteria is for the best web design. <a href="http://shoescollection.soup.io/" rel="nofollow">Pakistani shoes </a>Roberthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01583273779015811447noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8778506545780706793.post-89458395010555803622018-03-22T07:09:52.393-07:002018-03-22T07:09:52.393-07:00I truly cherished reading your weblog. It turned i...I truly cherished reading your weblog. It turned into very well authored and smooth to recognize. not like different blogs i have read which can be simply no longer that right.thank you alot!<a href="https://garrymodonline.tumblr.com/" rel="nofollow">free gmod addons</a>Roberthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01583273779015811447noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8778506545780706793.post-30492177595790413352012-09-06T23:27:46.126-07:002012-09-06T23:27:46.126-07:00Nearly 30 years ago, when I was in my late 30s, I ...Nearly 30 years ago, when I was in my late 30s, I knew a man who suffered from arthritis and who wore a copper bracelet. He maintained that it made his arthritis much less bad. It occurred to me that prevention is better than cure, so I bought a copper bracelet for myself. It was very cheap. I wore it for about 15 years, until it broke. Somehow, I never got round to buying a replacement. I am now 66, and have no arthritis. True story, but exactly what can one extract from it?<br />You might say that my use of the bracelet as a prophylactic was a brilliant decision, which has kept me free of arthritis up till now (and maybe not a second longer). Or you might say that I'm simply not the type that gets arthritis. Absence of arthritis (or anything else) is a negative condition, and nothing can ever be proved using negative conditions alone. Of course, if I came from a family which was very prone to arthritis (I don't), and if I was the only member who had used the bracelet AND the only one who had avoided the condition, it would seem intuitively likely that there was an association. In that case, one would search for a mechanism.<br />Aho! Perhaps I should buy another bracelet. They probably cost a lot more now, maybe as much as a pub lunch and a couple of pints. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8778506545780706793.post-76340773352577906652012-09-06T21:26:30.017-07:002012-09-06T21:26:30.017-07:00I don't think this post is up to your normal o...I don't think this post is up to your normal outstanding standard of posting. And I don't think this lapse represents an example of you regressing toward the mean.<br /><br />The problem is that the phenomenon of regression toward the mean is a mathematical quirk arising out of imperfect correlations. It is not a phenomenon that has explanatory value for changes in the lives of any particular individual. Regression to the mean is observed with data for subgroups found at either extreme end of a distribution of scores for a particular variable. Although some in the subgroup may be linked to an even more extreme score on the same variable measured at a different time or for another variable, most of those with the most extreme scores will tend to be relatively less extreme. Regression to the mean is a matter of tendency toward less extreme relative position not less extreme magnitude of scores in absolute terms.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8778506545780706793.post-19479956824132189192012-09-06T17:41:21.710-07:002012-09-06T17:41:21.710-07:00People do not like being told this. It destroys t...People do not like being told this. It destroys their dreams (their golf scores will continue to improve) and hope that their pain will go away. Skeptics have to find ways to challenge people without knocking the chair out from under them.<br />How can the fallacy be adjusted so the person delivering the 'bad' news isn't seen as being bad and the lessons learned will be beneficial.<br />Brian Iverson iversonb51@gmail.com Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com